Definitely odd, and unusual, but it seemed to me a lot more likely than any of the alternatives (such as the one you postulate). I also wonder whether it really is tripping when there is no load - it could possibly be that the OP only becomes aware that it has tripped when he finds that the shower isn't working (he has said that the 'shower CU' is outdoors, so he's probably not looking at it all the time) and that, in fact, it sometimes trips instantly on 'switch-on' of the shower. Also, as has been said, it's possible that loads other than just the shower are fed from that MCB, so there may be some load when it is tripping, even if it is not tripping on 'switch-on' of the shower.Sorry but I can't agree with your analysis. ... It would seem pretty odd to me for a MCB to trip seemingly randomly when there is no load and yet hold in when subject to pretty much full load. I guess it's not beyond the realms of possibility that there is a mechanical problem with the latch mechanism in the MCB or something which causes it to drop out randomly regardless of load but it seems unlikely to me.
I have to say that I would regard that as 'pretty odd' as well. It really would have to be something approaching an (intermittent) 'dead short' (i.e. low enough impedance to produce a magnetic trip) since, otherwise, the persistent high current through the fault needed to trip the MCB (if non-faulty) would probably produce smells, smoke or even flames - and I really do very seriously doubt that moisture/whatever could result in such a low impedance intermittent fault, even if all the conductors were bare. Furthermore, the arrangement of T+E cables is such that it would seem very unlikely that the sort of fault you postulate could result in (intermittent) extremely high currents flowing between L and N without enough getting to the CPC to trip the RCD. However, I accept that 'anything is possible'.I personally think the most likely explanation is that there is a wiring fault somewhere. E.g. wires that have lost their insulation or a metal object has penatrated them leading to metal which is nearly but not quite touching most of the time. In those circumstances a bit of movement of moisture (dry air has a MUCH higher breakdown voltage than damp air) could easilly be the difference between an effective open circuit and a near dead short.
We are told that two electricians have already checked the circuit and found no faults, and one would hope that at least one of them will have undertaken IR tests. Given the circumstances, I would certainly expect an electrician to undertake IR tests before changing the MCB (which is one reason I suggested that it was not a DIY job), but I suspect/fear that those tests will not reveal any abnormality - and I wonder whether, in that situation, one really could justify "examining the entire length of the circuit" (which could be very disruptive) in search of a fault which may well not be there.If you are lucky the resistance when the fault is "open" may be low enough to show up on an insulation resistance tester but if you are unlucky it may well be the only way to find the fault is an inspection of the entire length of the cicuit. ... I would suggest starting with insulation resistance tests and a through inspection of all accessible parts of the circuit.
Whatever, it needs an electrician.
Kind Regards, John