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This is exactly the scenario we are discussing though, isn't it ? When you end up with two boxes, you have two known values. The fact that they are £1 and £250k in this case has no real significance beyond an emotional one, and we could be talking about any two values, but it still remains 50:50

Figured out what's wrong with this... We are only talking about scenarios where you are left with £1 and £100 in your case. Therefore only two valid scenarios in your example are A & B - C & D are red herrings. Two scenarios. One win, One lose.

I've just been trying to think of how to reword my earlier post.... At the start of the game, you have, say twenty equally likely possibilities where you can start with a box containing £1, £2, £5 ....... £250,000 For the purposes of this problem, we are just considering the scenarios...

I can't quite get my head round your example just at the moment, but I think your list of possibilities are incomplete. Either way, you are overcomplicating the problem...... At the beginning of the game, you choose a box. That has an equal chance of containing any amount on offer as a...

Your probability of the £250k being in the box, is exactly the same, at all points in the game, as £1, £5 or any other uneliminated amount being in the box. Trazor's post a couple above this explains it better - The odds of it being on one side of the fence or the other reduce over time, but...

Personal opinion, but I find the Express to be far worse for this than the Mail. I think that its looking like there isn't any real evidence in this case, in spite of what's been reported, and it actually suits the Portuguese now to just leave the cloud of suspicion hanging over the parents...

Last year, I had one brought round by a man in a car, but not from any recognised courier firm..

After going through the same thing four times at the local Post Office, it was eventually suggested that I might want to consider signing the form first, and then only filling it in if I managed to get it inside the box....

When I was at school, it was always the case that a UK Billion was a million million, and a US Billion was a thousand million. However, I think the old UK Billion has died out now (or at least, changed its name to a Trillion) and the thousand million is nearly universal. Certainly, when...

One of these...? http://www.citizencard.com/faq.php

I'd go for it, if I were you. Straight over the M62 and you'll be there in a couple of hours. Even if it comes to nothing, it'll all be worth it. As for Moz, don't worry too much about him. He pops up under a different username on another forum I go to. He's even pretended to commit...

Let's hope its just under 25 years, and then you've still got a chance to redeem yourself. :D If its just over 25 years (i.e your silver wedding was 2 years ago) then you're b*ggered. In reply to Crafty's OP, it all depends on the situation. If its because she's just gone off to University...

Sorry to answer in this BAS-style, but thought I'd go point by point... 2031 is the current estimate for hitting 70 million assuming nothing changes, so a long way off and something may change to make us less attractive in the interim The reason we didn't limit the number of people who...

The USA is particularly undensely populated but, like us, is unevenly distributed. We are one of the more densely poulated countries in Europe, though roughly comparable to Germany (232 / km^2). However, our population density is low compared to Belgium (341) and The Netherlands (392)...

And they would all come here, as their destination of choice, in some super-survey of the world's potential immigrants ? Out of the world's 6 Billion people, 300 million live in the US, about the same in the EU, and almost everyone else lives in abject poverty and wants to come here ? Is...

Over 80% of the Earth's population would emigrate to the UK if they could ? Any source for that ?

Once analogue is switched off though, it will allow 'them' to crank up the digital signal, which means that the break-up problems shouldn't happen in future.

I go under for the following reason.... Kids will often inadvertently just spin the roll towards them, and if you have it 'over' then the whole roll will just unwind before you spot them...

Six hours and counting. Kev must have had a lot of talk built up within him..... :wink:

If this were a film, this is the point where we would get lots of shots of waves crashing on beaches, trains going into tunnels, rockets taking off etc. :wink: Congratulations to the two of you - Hope it all goes swimmingly