Trumps attack on Iran - 2026 edition

How will the upcoming attack on Iran go.

  • Total voters
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Odds said:
Anonymous bets hours before attacks on Iran that killed Supreme Leader Khamenei have raised concerns of insider trading.

Over the weekend, a Polymarket user known as “Magamyman” reportedly made more than $500,000 in a single day with a bet on US–Israel strikes that Iran’s supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, would be out of power, raising concerns of insider trading. Mike Levin, a Democratic representative from California, highlighted on the social media platform X that this user bought in on the position when the probability of a strike was at 17 percent and with the first trade placed 71 minutes before the news broke publicly.

Other users named “Planktonbet,” “Dicedicedice,” and “nothingeverhappens911” also placed bets within 24 hours of the strike on the potential of a US strike, according to data compiled by analytics firm Bubblemap. All accounts were opened in February and exclusively placed bets on Iran.

This echoes past incidents that spooked lawmakers amid concerns of profiteering from war and of potential insider trading.
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It wouldn't surprise me at all.
Anyone shorting a decent amount of stocks on Friday, and buying them back yesterday would have made a killing.
They could probably have increased their holding by about 30%. When the market recovers, they could sell of that additional 30% for profit.
 
King Billy said:
It wouldn't surprise me at all.
Anyone shorting a decent amount of stocks on Friday, and buying them back yesterday would have made a killing.
They could probably have increased their holding by about 30%. When the market recovers, they could sell of that additional 30% for profit.
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Good for them. We pay over a billion pounds a month in public money to foreign parasites living here, many of which have the vote.
 
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King Billy said:
International law is not the driver of refugees, armed conflict, supported by western nations selling the weapons creates refugees.
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If he thought he might get away with it Spline would blame air for refugees, asylum seekers, and immigrants, and demand that everybody stops breathing.
 
King Billy said:
And any attacks that were committed on USA soil would be alleged to be terror attacks by USA, when they're just retaliation.
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You might want to rearrange that to

"And any attacks that were committed on USA soil would be alleged by the USA to be terror attacks, when they're just retaliation."
 
Apparently the Iranian warship sunk by torpedo India’s navy and defense ministry said the Iranian warship had participated in the International Fleet Review and the multilateral naval exercise MILAN 2026, organized by the Indian navy in the port of Visakhapatnam from Feb. 15 to Feb. 25. The ministry said 74 countries had joined the events. including America, in the Indian Ocean. It was unarmed, according to agreement, and attacked without warning.
 
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