Trumps attack on Iran - 2026 edition

How will the upcoming attack on Iran go.


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Netanyahu is playing Trump and the world like a fiddle
Nettie won’t get re elected if he doesn’t deliver a new regime and remove the missiles threat. He will carry on until Trumpf stops him, until such time there can’t be an election, so he remains in power.
 
Talking of opening up the straits again is not something that will happen during this ceasefire. It’s all well and good Trump thinking it will open. It’s all to do with regaining confidence in that route. The only ships that will want to use the route is the ones that are stuck in them at the moment. Container ships won’t go near the Red Sea one year later after houthis agreed not to attack them. It will be no different to the oil and gas tankers and the strait. Who will be willing to take a chance on their tankers and their cargo passing through, Lloyd’s of London certainly won’t insure without underwriters. Who is willing to underwrite those sort of figures when we can see the effects of this cease fire.
 
Old King Don reminds me of those comedy sketches you see when a group of people are getting on fine. Someone appears, causes some sort of mayhem, thinks they've improved the situation, then they leave. In their wake, they leave the group of people in turmoil.
 
Iran said yesterday:

"We are very much focusing on the wellbeing of the whole Middle East"

Is that why they have bombed their Arab neighbour's?
They bombed US bases which are in MUSLIM COUNTRIES and any oil plants hit is tit for tat.
 
Remember this...

 
Screenshot_20260409_113725_Chrome.jpg
 
What we are seeing in this "peace deal" isn't a deal at all, it is a trap, there is nothing concrete or set in stone for long term peace other than a fragile 2 week cease fire which gives Iran breathing space to regroup and strengthen their offensive and defensive position. Trump has declared a military victory and a peace deal and all he is actually doing is signalling to Bejing that it is he who has the say on the region and its oil rather than Bejing has. Israel is not falling for it and is showing this by continuing its attacks in Lebanon, Israel won't stop with Iran either as none of its goals have been achieved with Irans nuclear threat and threat against Israel itself. Iran has been firing and targeting Kuwait and has kept the strait closed until Israel stops which of course they won't, Iran is signalling by attacking Kuwait that they still have a military and can hurt the worlds economy regardless of Trumps cease fire. What we are seeing is not a massive military victory by the US but a mere act in a play. It's all smoke and mirrors.
 
What we are seeing in this "peace deal" isn't a deal at all, it is a trap, there is nothing concrete or set in stone for long term peace other than a fragile 2 week cease fire which gives Iran breathing space to regroup and strengthen their offensive and defensive position. Trump has declared a military victory and a peace deal and all he is actually doing is signalling to Bejing that it is he who has the say on the region and its oil rather than Bejing has. Israel is not falling for it and is showing this by continuing its attacks in Lebanon, Israel won't stop with Iran either as none of its goals have been achieved with Irans nuclear threat and threat against Israel itself. Iran has been firing and targeting Kuwait and has kept the strait closed until Israel stops which of course they won't, Iran is signalling by attacking Kuwait that they still have a military and can hurt the worlds economy regardless of Trumps cease fire. What we are seeing is not a massive military victory by the US but a mere act in a play. It's all smoke and mirrors.
Why so cynical?

;)

It's more than a shame the EU/UK don't have the clout (financial, militarily etc) to push back on the States 'You want to throw your toys out the pram? Fine, bye then'.
 
Talking of opening up the straits again is not something that will happen during this ceasefire. It’s all well and good Trump thinking it will open. It’s all to do with regaining confidence in that route. The only ships that will want to use the route is the ones that are stuck in them at the moment. Container ships won’t go near the Red Sea one year later after houthis agreed not to attack them. It will be no different to the oil and gas tankers and the strait. Who will be willing to take a chance on their tankers and their cargo passing through, Lloyd’s of London certainly won’t insure without underwriters. Who is willing to underwrite those sort of figures when we can see the effects of this cease fire.
It will be several months minimum before ships feel confident to move through the Stairts even assuming there is some kind of lasting “peace”
 
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