Russia has rejected his overtures to end the war in Ukraine. Israel and Hamas defied his efforts to end the war in Gaza. And China appears to be in no mood to strike a deal to end the trade war he sparked.
When it comes to Iran, however, things may be looking up.
Negotiators from the U.S. and Iran met in Oman last Saturday, and again this weekend, for face-to-face talks about ending Iran’s nuclear program. And Trump, who walked away from the original 2015 nuclear deal during his first term, is now well-positioned to secure a lasting deal.
The question is: What kind?
Since the U.S. abandoned the agreement that curtailed Iran’s nuclear program in 2018, Tehran has accelerated its enrichment of uranium, which is a critical step toward building a nuclear weapon. Hence, the need for a quick resolution is more urgent than ever.
Currently, there are three aspects of Iran’s nuclear activities that are particularly worrying: First, after deploying advanced centrifuges able to enrich uranium at a much faster pace, the country has massively expanded its enrichment capabilities.
Second, as it’s been producing highly enriched uranium since 2021, Iran has now stockpiled about 275 kilograms of uranium enriched to 60 percent. That’s sufficient for about six nuclear weapons once enriched to 90 percent purity — meaning, it would take Iran less than two weeks to produce enough bomb-grade material for a single weapon.
Finally, late last year, the U.S. intelligence community
concluded that Iran was examining ways to build a crude weapons stockpile in a matter of months, rather than waiting the year or more it would take its engineers to manufacture a weapon that could be deployed atop a ballistic missile. ....
However, the final deal — if there is one — is more likely to resemble the 2015 one he repeatedly described as “the worst deal in history,”