Trumps attack on Iran - 2026 edition

How will the upcoming attack on Iran go.

  • What attacks, peace will reign in H1 2026!?

    Votes: 0 0.0%

  • US only airstrikes

    Votes: 4 19.0%

  • US and Israeli airstrikes

    Votes: 11 52.4%

  • Land war

    Votes: 6 28.6%
  • Total voters
    21
blup said:
But if the mindset is that the US is biding its time for a bigger attack, the long game just got a lot longer.
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If the US are stringing it out, I believe their objective is more economic damage to Iran to the point it becomes untenable.
Iran currently losing $500 million a day on oil revenue, banking system collapsed, struggling to pay troops and 100% inflation, that can't go on for too long.
You're right about the mid terms though. Expect a big push by Iran in October.
 
blup said:
Interesting perspective (from the bit before the pay wall). I can understand Irann strategically wanting to delay and prevaricate in order to maximise political damage to Trumpf before the mid terms, review the outcome and then either negotiate or more of the same. But if the mindset is that the US is biding its time for a bigger attack, the long game just got a lot longer.
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The US has more military force it can use, but the cost to them would be significant and they don't want to do it.

The US may be waiting for after the upcoming elections to escalate further but in all likelihood Trump just wants it to go away and is hoping economic sanctions will achieve that. Sanctions have never broken a country on their own as far as I know.

That's why Iran is so confident that they're increasing the demand they're making on the US.
 
IT Minion said:
The US has more military force it can use, but the cost to them would be significant and they don't want to do it.

The US may be waiting for after the upcoming elections to escalate further but in all likelihood Trump just wants it to go away and is hoping economic sanctions will achieve that. Sanctions have never broken a country on their own as far as I know.

That's why Iran is so confident that they're increasing the demand they're making on the US.
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In which case the logical next step is Amerrican troops on the ground
 
blup said:
In which case the logical next step is Amerrican troops on the ground
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Yes, but the cost there would be awful. The US has been doing war games with Ukrainian troops in Germany and have seen how hard they get hit by drones, Iran is fully looped into drone production for the Russian war as well as the Yemeni/Saudi war and the risk of significant casualties recorded on TV with the targets face the last thing seen before the drone explodes is something Trump doesn't want.

In theory the US can win the war, they have the military might, but they don't want it enough to pay the price.
 
Trumpf now threatening sanctions on countries that trade with Irann. Fat chance Chinna will listen.
 
blup said:
Trumpf now threatening sanctions on countries that trade with Irann. Fat chance Chinna will listen.
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China were getting something like 70% of their oil from Iran at a discounted rate and a good portion of the balance from Venezuela.
They're already taking a hit, much like the railways used by China and Russia to supple Iran with weapons.
 
fillyboy said:
China were getting something like 70% of their oil from Iran at a discounted rate and a good portion of the balance from Venezuela.
They're already taking a hit, much like the railways used by China and Russia to supple Iran with weapons.
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Not sure how much political influence they have though
 
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