I think the 'Boots on the ground ' group are probably going to be proven right in the end. The US ground forces are scheduled to be in place by the end of the week, allowing Trump to launch the ground war after the US markets have closed and after his 5 day negotiation deadline.
Then more of the gulfs infrastructure gets hit, the straights remain closed and oil prices go up again
Then more of the gulfs infrastructure gets hit, the straights remain closed and oil prices go up again
