Trumps attack on Iran - 2026 edition

How will the upcoming attack on Iran go.

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One diplomat recently involved in the peace talks says he fears that if Trump cannot see a way out, he will resort to a nuclear weapon.

Emile Hokayem, from the International Institute for Strategic Studies, senses that “Trump wants to avoid a long, protracted war of attrition so the Pentagon is giving him high risk, high investment options with potential high impact, as if one big blow will change the trajectory of the war, or at least the perception of it – ie that Iran retains strategic leverage by having identified and developed control over the centre of gravity of the war, Hormuz.

“This reminds me of when US and Israeli analysts and officials were arguing that Rafah in May 2024 was going to be the big, final blow in the Gaza war. How did that work?”
 
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Odds said:
One diplomat recently involved in the peace talks says he fears that if Trump cannot see a way out, he will resort to a nuclear weapon.

Emile Hokayem, from the International Institute for Strategic Studies, senses that “Trump wants to avoid a long, protracted war of attrition so the Pentagon is giving him high risk, high investment options with potential high impact, as if one big blow will change the trajectory of the war, or at least the perception of it – ie that Iran retains strategic leverage by having identified and developed control over the centre of gravity of the war, Hormuz.

“This reminds me of when US and Israeli analysts and officials were arguing that Rafah in May 2024 was going to be the big, final blow in the Gaza war. How did that work?”
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How can anyone predict Trumpf’s next moves when he doesn’t yet know himself. He’s probably looking for an exit ramp maybe after deploying some troops. It does seem clear that Isreal will be sorely disappointed and Irann will build itself back stand more of a threat than before. O’bamas deal seems very sensible in hindsight
 
transam said:
Well two tourists were recently banged up for 10 years

They were on a spying mission for MI6

After all the mad mullers would not fabricate such a story or tell porkie pies and bang up two fruit cakes on false allegations
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The Tory minister Rory Stuart motorcycled across the country in the 90’s. I was surprised to read that as the country is full of murderous mad mullers. His dad was a senior MI 6 man. Maybe a job application.
 
trump's still whining about NATO unhelping him crush the Iranian's - who he claimed were already defeated - saying "they don't have to help us but if they don't he has another saying 'never forget"'.

Well we never forget either, donald: we never forget the guy who incited an insurrection and fraudulently stole an election; we never forget the guy who colluded with Russian agents and tried to weasel his way out of blackmailing the Ukrainian leader; we never forget the twice impeached president of the USA who really should be serving jail time, instead of serving us with a daily **** show.
 
fillyboy said:
To be fair, that really isn't the same as saying it's beneficial to the environment is it?
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That's the impression I get, either that or he doesn't care about the environment.
So he thinks oil and gas is bad for the environment?
 
Odds said:
trump's still whining about NATO unhelping him crush the Iranian's - who he claimed were already defeated - saying "they don't have to help us but if they don't he has another saying 'never forget"'.

Well we never forget either, donald: we never forget the guy who incited an insurrection and fraudulently stole an election; we never forget the guy who colluded with Russian agents and tried to weasel his way out of blackmailing the Ukrainian leader; we never forget the twice impeached president of the USA who really should be serving jail time, instead of serving us with a daily **** show.
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Who is “ We”
 
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