Will Argentina try to take the falklands again?

Joined
7 Nov 2023
Messages
21,867
Reaction score
14,167
Country
United Kingdom
I think they almost most certainly will and their military has been ramping up in the past decade to do this. Now they see an easy battle from the disaster of 1982.
 
Worryingly they have just aquired 3 X P3 Orion intelligence gathering aircraft from Norway which have been actively gathering intelligence in the skies surrounding the Falklands,. They also know we have nothing in reserve to send out there like we did in 19982. Today the feeling in Argentina with regards to the Falklands is the same as it was in 1981. We saw this in the world cup fiasco.
 
They won’t, rock hopper are locked in.
1784923521014.png
 
I doubt it. A mate, who's a politcal scientist of sorts in US, made an interesting point - if they had waited, we might well have given it up, as we were giving up small distant patches at the time - Zimbabwe (1980), Vanuatu (1980), Belize (1981), and Antigua and Barbuda (1981).

And the UK and Argentina signed a 1968 memorandum aiming to recognise Argentine sovereignty, subject to future safeguards.

But, with military spending on the rise in the UK, they might have missed the boat already ...
 
I doubt it. A mate, who's a politcal scientist of sorts in US, made an interesting point - if they had waited, we might well have given it up, as we were giving up small distant patches at the time - Zimbabwe (1980), Vanuatu (1980), Belize (1981), and Antigua and Barbuda (1981).

And the UK and Argentina signed a 1968 memorandum aiming to recognise Argentine sovereignty, subject to future safeguards.

But, with military spending on the rise in the UK, they might have missed the boat already ...
It would be difficult to take them but even harder for us to get them back if they did. All analysts are suggesting March 2028 when they will try, if they try.
 
No they won't, nothing will happen, although there will be a lot of talk, bluster and propaganda about having to deal with Argentina amid the prospect of annihilation from Russia.

All the while, the real invasion continues...
 
No they won't, nothing will happen, although there will be a lot of talk, bluster and propaganda about having to deal with Argentina amid the prospect of annihilation from Russia.

All the while, the real invasion continues...
The stench of racism in your bedsit must be overwhelming.
 
they wont try again. They have a better chance of getting the Labour government to give them away with a cash bonus and an apology.
I think you'll find it was a tory government that was going to do that...

Linky Linky

"Margaret Thatcher's government offered to hand over sovereignty of the Falkland islands at a clandestine meeting with a senior Argentinian official less than two years before the invasion of the British territory, it is revealed today.

Colleagues of the British minister involved set up a diversionary cover story to explain his absence, saying he was off to Switzerland to do a little painting with his wife.

The secret meeting is disclosed in the official history of the Falklands by Sir Lawrence Freedman, professor of war studies at King's College, University of London.

He reveals that in June 1980, the Foreign Office drew up a proposal, approved by the cabinet's defence committee, whereby Britain would hand Argentina titular sovereignty over the islands, which would then be leased back by Britain for 99 years"


Seems your political bias doesn't tally with historical facts ;)
 
Furthermore as to money...

"Some of Margaret Thatcher's closest policy advisers voiced strong concerns that the Falklands Islands were not worth the fight, from the earliest days of the campaign, according to the latest release of files from the former Conservative prime minister's personal papers"

"The papers show that, contrary to the jingoistic spirit at the time, the divisions over the Falklands went to the very heart of Downing Street with both Thatcher's senior economic adviser, Sir Alan Walters, and her chief of staff, David Wolfson, proposing schemes offering to buy-out the 1,800 islanders rather than send a taskforce to the South Atlantic"

"Wolfson made an explicit proposal in a note to Thatcher on 22 April 1982 to avoid war by way of buying off the Falklanders. He suggested that the "bribe" of a US-backed index-linked guarantee of $100,000 per family and lifetime guarantees allowing residents to settle in Britain, Australia or New Zealand with full citizenship, be offered"


And the real reason for the war is revealed...

"The prime minister's private secretary, Michael Scholar, said the PM had already considered a number of similar ideas but concluded that "it would mean the end of the government to pursue them now".
 
IIRC, Thatcher reportedly said years later that defending the Falklands was "never about the Falklands", but showing the Russians that we weren't there for the taking.

But someone else can support or refute that, as they wish.
 
Back
Top