Certain members on here who are banging on about what Farage is supposed to have said 50 years ago

[MNW67]

I've not been following the polls. But a quick bit of research shows the consensus is that Reform have been steadily losing support to the Tories since September:

He said: 'Both polls show clear Reform decline and Tory rise.'

 

[fillyboy]

All of the latest polls show Reform have dropped....so the above is not true



So whilst Reforms core supporters, like Filly, Mottie, Charlie George, Motorgrifting, Aveatry etc love Farages racism, there are plenty of people who do not and are drifting back to their own parties.

Nigel Farage racism claims have not harmed his reputation, poll finds - London News Network

https://static.independent.co.uk/2025/09/28/11/28112906-20df79e9-533b-47ac-a1c3-b6a30f04084a.jpg?width=1200&auto=webp&crop=3%3A2 Claims that Nigel Farage was a racist bully in his school days appear to have left his reputation unscathed among voters, according to a new poll. A survey by…

londonnewsnetwork.com

Nigel Farage racism claims have not harmed his reputation, poll finds​

30 December 2025



Claims that Nigel Farage was a racist bully in his school days appear to have left his reputation unscathed among voters, according to a new poll.

A survey by JL Partners for The Independent shows that one in two voters have a negative view of the Reform leader, compared to one in three who have a positive view.

However, it indicates that allegations against him dating back to his career at Dulwich College in London in the 1970s have not damaged his overall reputation.

In fact, they suggest his approval rating has improved, albeit by just 1 per cent. Four per cent of voters – one in 25 – say they have turned against Mr Farage as a result of the allegations. By contrast, 5 per cent – one in 20 – say it has changed their opinion of him from negative to positive.

James Johnson of JL Partners compared the findings to polling in America following earlier allegations of personal misconduct against Mr Farage’s right-wing ally, Donald Trump.

 

[motorbiking]

I've not been following the polls. But a quick bit of research shows the consensus is that Reform have been steadily losing support to the Tories since September:

 

[fillyboy]

I've not been following the polls. But a quick bit of research shows the consensus is that Reform have been steadily losing support to the Tories since September:

It is the most recent survey, late December.

 

[MNW67]

In 2029, it will all come down to which grouping is better at tactical voting. Historically, in the absence of a formal pact, the left have been much more successful.

 

[noseall]

I've not been following the polls. But a quick bit of research shows the consensus is that Reform have been steadily losing support to the Tories since September:

Correct. they peaked to soon. Goes to show how easy it is to dent a fragile poll lead.

I think the RWR are forgetting how long they have to suck it up. 2029 is a long way off. Batten down the hatches boyos, it's a long way off yet.

 

[motorbiking]

In 2029 it will all come down to which grouping is better at tactical voting. Historically, in the absence of a formal pact, the left have been much more successful.

The "right" tend to be underrepresented in polls.
The "left" tend to be unsuccessful overall, Tories are still the most successful long term, by a large margin.

I think Kemi has improved her game a bit and is hitting Labour harder in QTs, but Starmer needs to do something to save his skin in 2026 otherwise they will oust him to give the next one a chance.

 

[fillyboy]

Historically, in the absence of a formal pact, the left have been much more successful.

Hasn't there been six Liberal/Conservative govts?

 

[MNW67]

You misunderstood the point. The left are much more successful when it comes to tactical voting. And that is what will count in 2029. Unless Tories and Reform have a formal pact, they will eat each other.

 

[motorbiking]

You misunderstood the point. The left are much more successful when it comes to tactical voting. And that is what will count in 2029. Unless Tories and Reform have a formal pact, they will eat each other.

• Time in Power: Since the introduction of universal suffrage in 1918, the UK has had a Conservative-led government for roughly two-thirds of the time.
• Election Wins: Between 1918 and 2024, the Conservative party won the highest share of the vote in 19 out of 29 general elections.

Perhaps you need to define Success?

 

[MNW67]

You are looking at the outdated scenario where the Tories had no competition on the right. Everything has changed.

 

[motorbiking]

You are looking at the outdated scenario where the Tories had no competition on the right. Everything has changed.

You have to look at the whole picture.

There are more left wing parties to split the Labour vote. They are currently in 3rd place. Tactical voting has to do a lot of heavy lifting and its never much worked before.

I predict a Reform/Tory Coalition will be the next government.

 

[Notch7]

View attachment 403320

support for Reform is dropping

7 out of 8 of the most recent polls shows Reform dropping

 

[Notch7]

I wonder if the Reform muppets think Reforms catastrophic failure amongst Reform councils will enhance their polling?

 

[Notch7]

Tactical voting has to do a lot of heavy lifting and its never much worked before.

tactical voting worked in the last election -it was the first election where it was used to a material degree


there are millions of people who do not want Reform in power and will vote tactically to prevent it