Public Perception

[Odds]

A survey of 1,800 people in England and Wales found that people thought 55% of convicted killers were from an ethnic minority, when the real percentage is 35%.
They also thought just 45% of homicides were committed by white people, when the real figure is 64%.


Reform voters were furthest from the truth, believing 70% of killers were from ethnic minorities – 10% more than voters of any other party.


Public estimates of foreign national offenders show why crime could be fertile ground for the far right. People surveyed thought foreign national offenders comprised 25% of the prison population, when the real figure is 12%.

Respondents also overestimated the number of foreigners committing sexual offences, believing it to be 30%, when the real figure is half that at 15%.


Once again Reform voters’ perceptions were the most wrong, with them believing 50% of sexual offences were by foreign nationals – 20% higher than those who told the survey they were Conservative supporters.

 

[Munroast]

A survey of 1,800 people in England and Wales found that people thought 55% of convicted killers were from an ethnic minority, when the real percentage is 35%.
They also thought just 45% of homicides were committed by white people, when the real figure is 64%.

lets just examine this
35% of killers are from an ethnic minority ?
only 18% of the population is from an ethnic minority - that would mean those from an ethnic minority group are 2.15 x more likely to be a killer

and your other figures back this up if 64% of homicides are by whites then that would mean 36% are from a population f 18% so yet again they are twice as likely to murder


And some people don't want to live in a multi cultural area - i wonder why ?

 

[Koolpc]

In reality, we know that odds survey doesn't tell the real truth behind it all...

 

[SPLINE]

Odds left out Per Capita from his calculations, as usual. Whilst this left-wing deception is obvious to any sensible person, there is a sizeable number of fools, liars and frauds who will always believe and propagate it. It is how Jason Arday got away with his rubbish.

 

[Odds]

lets just examine this
35% of killers are from an ethnic minority ?
only 18% of the population is from an ethnic minority - that would mean those from an ethnic minority group are 2.15 x more likely to be a killer

and your other figures back this up if 64% of homicides are by whites then that would mean 36% are from a population f 18% so yet again they are twice as likely to murder


And some people don't want to live in a multi cultural area - i wonder why ?

Your misperception is more of a general emotional reaction than careful study of the facts.

 

[Odds]

In reality, we know that odds survey doesn't tell the real truth behind it all...

YouGov’s survey

 

[aveatry]

Public estimates of foreign national offenders show why crime could be fertile ground for the far right. People surveyed thought foreign national offenders comprised 25% of the prison population, when the real figure is 12%.

Respondents also overestimated the number of foreigners committing sexual offences, believing it to be 30%, when the real figure is half that at 15%.

Once again Reform voters’ perceptions were the most wrong, with them believing 50% of sexual offences were by foreign nationals – 20% higher than those who told the survey they were Conservative supporters.

The "Foreign nationals" category- is a good way of hiding those born in another country but are now british citizens

 

[Koolpc]

YouGov’s survey

But, your belief in and perception of it which hides the real truth.

 

[Munroast]

Your misperception is more of a general emotional reaction than careful study of the facts.

mathematics is probably the least emotional of all the academic disciplines - i was merely exploring the facts you presented

 

[Odds]

mathematics is probably the least emotional of all the academic disciplines - i was merely exploring the facts you presented

Believe it or not, that's up to you.

I'd take the opinion of an independent organisation over the glib gibbering of a right wing media all day long.

 

[motorbiking]

source please.

Those numbers look extremely high, based on the demographics of the UK. It suggests we have a major problem with ethnic minorities and serious crime.

What we do know is BAMEs are 4-6 X over represented in Prisons and Muslims are 2.5–3x over-represented. These aren't rounding errors.

 

[foxhole]

In the UK, general police-recorded crime data does not routinely list or publish the specific nationality of offenders.
So data is not very reliable for any kind of conclusion other than it’s inconclusive .

 

[IT Minion]

lets just examine this
35% of killers are from an ethnic minority ?
only 18% of the population is from an ethnic minority - that would mean those from an ethnic minority group are 2.15 x more likely to be a killer

and your other figures back this up if 64% of homicides are by whites then that would mean 36% are from a population f 18% so yet again they are twice as likely to murder


And some people don't want to live in a multi cultural area - i wonder why ?

It is a problem, but to calm your white terror those killed are overwhelmingly always the same ethnicity as those doing the killing.

Its almost as if the ethnic discrepancy is actually just a side effect of socio-economic factors which are a much stronger predictor.

 

[IT Minion]

In the UK, general police-recorded crime data does not routinely list or publish the specific nationality of offenders.
So data is not very reliable for any kind of conclusion other than it’s inconclusive .

Statistics on Ethnicity and the Criminal Justice System, 2024 (HTML)

www.gov.uk

Only 3% of homicides do not have recorded ethnicity.

 

[Dec27]

Your misperception is more of a general emotional reaction than careful study of the facts.

His maths are spot on.

Your little thread is another one of your sad attempts at propaganda