Too many variables inside and outside the setting you describe, to place any more weight on a more virulent lurgy than anything other possibility IMHO.
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Too many variables inside and outside the setting you describe, to place any more weight on a more virulent lurgy than anything other possibility IMHO.
When u say infected..... what do u understand by that? If its clinically sick people, with symptoms who have had their diagnosis made based on symptoms and confirmed by PCR test, then ok..... but if its 'just a positive PCR test', then the conclusion made is skewed
Because there wasn't any
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They were all sick, 2 of them very ill indeed, only one got away with minor symptoms.
PCR tests are the gold-standard for Covid-19 diagnosis. They're up in the 90% or better range. The entire point of testing is to identify positive cases so they don't unknowingly infect others.
I doubt BodgedBuild would be particularly happy with a colleague who rocked up to the small control room with a positive test result but no symptoms.
What are you on about, I've googled Karry Mullins and they died in 2019.
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The PCR test is accurate enough to be able to tell people to isolate from others, that is its purpose. It is not a medical diagnostic tool
To a degree it is, if you've got Covid-19 then you get Dexamethasone and tocilizumab if you're seriously ill. They would be dangerous for many people who are seriously unwell as they weaken or modify the immune system and immune response.
Even diagnostic tools have error margins.
If that is true for us, it will be true for everyone unless they have a special one-off vaccine for the rest of the world.
My tuppence is that after the initial waves die out we'll end up with something like the Flu Vaccine. A yearly shot for more elderly or high risk people and maybe if you're going traveling.
But it's really guesswork right now, some vaccines last decades and there's nothing saying that Covid-19 had to mutate to a strain that vaccines don't work on.
Eradication is probably possible, but it requires a lot of effort and once you've got it under control in the richer countries we'll lose interest.
I doubt that, given it has been found in tigers, mink, and even gorillas.
Socially distancing from Tigers seems like a solid plan to me.
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And even bats!
That is bound to happen, whole population vaccination, with a workforce which itself might get the bug and become unavailable, all makes it difficult to produce precise targets. All they can do, is their best efforts and they will become better and more organised as time goes on.
