It’s amazing how there are no analysts anywhere that are saying Trumps tariff policies are good for American economy.
Buth there dont seem to be many supporting Trumps direction being good for the USA economy, let alone the ROW
There are many, I can assure you. I see quite a lot of "experts". As I say there are opinions all over the place. Of course you won't find an old school Democrat supporting high tariffs, but what TACO man is ending up with isn't very high. Some of the old boys see Trump's tenure as a useful transient to give US manufacturing a kick up the backside.
Some of his policies, like getting Europe away from depending on Russia for energy, and getting top-level chip manufacture out of China's back yard in Taiwan (yet to happen), are hard to argue with. Funding defence around the world, such as Nato , has been going on too long too.
They need to get their borrowing down, and so far, so bad. That's a wait and see.
Deporting large numbers of established tax-paying illegal immigrants, when they need more employees, looks silly. Etc.
Surely the US social position isn't very good, but I know little about any nuances. They are relying on polluting industries far too much.
They are relying on China for minerals to a criminal extent but they're making moves to redress that. And on and on.
T is throwing their weight about. WHat will be the effect say of trying to limit exports of oil from Russia to India, will be an interesting thing to observe. It could backfire on him. India could just turn to Russia and China as economic and tech partners.
Trump's reign will be over soon, so I think he's using broad brush, clearing and starting again in some areas.
Of course that has casualties whom he doesn't care about.
For example, on Bloomberg, there's a quallity handbag producer in NY which has to import its leathers and fixtures from the likes of China. If they have to raise their prices from $850 to $1150, that kills their viability. There's a large percentage of US companies like that, everyone will know one.
Parallels in history all fail somewhere, and you don't have to get things wrong by much to initiate a wild swing which is hard to correct. I don't think anyone except Trump thinks his desired 1% inflation rate would be a good idea. On the face of it, your debt costs tumble, investment booms. But the sugar rush leads to rapid inflation, speculators rejoicing, - then a spectacular crash in a small number of years. That's been seen before.
A couple of things are extraordinary. One is space development. Musk is way way ahead, soon to have
tens of thousands of low orbit satellites. What for? Where does that go?
Artificial intelligence - its capabilities are exploding. Many people are fixated on the human brain being unassailable in some way. It's not, it's just a load of connections. There's the energy problem and the size problem, but artificial "brain power" is accelerating faster than most thought. It hasn't caught up with a human brain in terms of exaflops yet, but it will. And AI brains don't forget, ever.
It looks like the US is ahead at the moment, China some way behind. We used to laugh at "the software problem", but er, it teaches itself, so it's not what we thought.
In some fields, it's
already way better than we are.
Even in Trumps' tenure, where does that take us?
If anyone says they know what's going to happen, their tongues may weave a tapestry of deceit, where truth is but a shadow, obscured by cunning words.