Inflation

Bait & switch is a term used to describe many deceptive practices. It has no officially defined meaning.

Releasing a product that has a certain quality, then altering that quality later, while retaining all of the identity of that product, can generally be called "bait & switch".
 
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Christ. That's big pensions.

it's a curious effect of a defined benefit pension (let's say, £20k a year, index linked, plus 50% widow's pension) and very low (near zero) interest rates and bond yields, to a person aged, say, 57 and likely to be drawing it for 30 years, and his wife even longer.

If the yield was 1%, you would need a pot of £2,000,000 to bring it in just on the yield. So if you want to transfer the pension obligation to another provider, the valuation will be calculated on the estimated liability.

In fact, the calculation increases the size of the pot to allow for anticipated inflation over the anticipated life of the pensioner and the widow, and decreases it because you will notionally be giving back a bit of the capital sum with every payment, and it reduces or increases according to increase or reduction in interest rates.

Defined benefit pensions and index linking have now almost disappeared (except for Directors of large companies, and MPs). They're far too good for the common people. Pension providers hate carrying the risk of growing inflation, poor returns and improving lifespan, and will pay through the nose to get rid of it.

I don't know current annuity rates for index-linked plus widows for a person retiring at 57. But they won't be much.

Many years ago, pensions had a rule of thumb that you would earn about 10% annual pension income on the size of your fund, and would live to draw it for around around ten years. When I moved jobs to a company in Holborn, I found some old marketing handouts down the back of a drawer telling the punters that's what they'd get. The estimate ignored inflation and growth.

If you think you can do better than the annuity rates, you can take the pot and draw a bigger income, but then you own the risk that you might live too long and run out of money.
 
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Local gov workers still get a traditional pension based on a large fund. Terms on those used to be ~15% of final salary for 40 years for a 2/3 salary at retirement age. Typically a company would pay 1/2 of that. Things changed when investments tended to move to property. You may have heard of company pension holidays but there are other factors especially on large funds. There was some misuse as the money in funds as they are usually set up such that the money in it belongs to the company running it. Rules were changed but have never looked at the details. Made offering them less attractive. There have been loads of early retirements when the fund can stand it even in local gov going on a neighbour.

Leaving funds like this can be a bit of a problem. Returns based on salary at the time some one leaves or poor transfer values into another fund.They suited job for life situations really.

;) Not checked what civil servants get and the local gov one may not be exactly the same as a typical company one - better maybe.
 
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Things don't look good. Power costs. £150 of one council tax bill and a long term loan - to us, indirectly - to reduce the bill.

BofE base rate up to 0.5% which in real terms is still well into the emergency levels really. It has been in that for a long time now.
 
Things don't look good. Power costs. £150 of one council tax bill and a long term loan - to us, indirectly - to reduce the bill.

BofE base rate up to 0.5% which in real terms is still well into the emergency levels really. It has been in that for a long time now.


The rate rise should have been in single digits, not basis points.
The BOE/Gov is terrified about the housing market having the rug pulled from under it.

They have good reason to as well because it is about the only industry Britain has left and it has been propped up, drugged up and cobbled up to such a point that when its dead corpse does fall to the ground, its going take a fair few things with it.
Ave UK house price is now well over £1/4M (£270K).
Ave Ind wage is £25k so a house is now well over 10 times ave salary.

The housing market is built on quicksand made from asset growth >inflation. That is dead.
You increase rates to curb inflation and you push value from debt back towards cash. However, you are going to need IR rates to be much higher to do that.

Gonna be an ugly year.
 
The rate rise should have been in single digits, not basis points.
The BOE/Gov is terrified about the housing market having the rug pulled from under it.

They have good reason to as well because it is about the only industry Britain has left and it has been propped up, drugged up and cobbled up to such a point that when its dead corpse does fall to the ground, its going take a fair few things with it.
Ave UK house price is now well over £1/4M (£270K).
Ave Ind wage is £25k so a house is now well over 10 times ave salary.

The housing market is built on quicksand made from asset growth >inflation. That is dead.
You increase rates to curb inflation and you push value from debt back towards cash. However, you are going to need IR rates to be much higher to do that.

Gonna be an ugly year.

the big 6 house builders are Tory donors, they don’t want a house market crash, rising house prices is what fuels their profits on the shoddy houses they build

this country has a massive housing crisis with millions of potential first time buyers locked out of the system because their ability to save for a deposit is thwarted by high rental costs
 
the big 6 house builders are Tory donors, they don’t want a house market crash, rising house prices is what fuels their profits on the shoddy houses they build

this country has a massive housing crisis with millions of potential first time buyers locked out of the system because their ability to save for a deposit is thwarted by high rental costs

High rental prices stem somewhat from high house price costs and the cost of servicing the debt.

If you put up IR rates to slow down inflation, you increase the debt load, which increases the mortgage repayments which causes higher rents and so on and so forth.

It's like economic entropy.
 
The housing market is built on quicksand made from asset growth >inflation. That is dead.
You increase rates to curb inflation and you push value from debt back towards cash. However, you are going to need IR rates to be much higher to do that.

Gonna be an ugly year.

The ECB has ruled out interest rate rises, until today.
 
People might like to look at how the headline average wage is calculated.

Energy costs within the UK will ripple across everything not just households.

The forecast was that we will probably see 3 base rate changes short term. 2 so far but reports have said a higher one was considered. The chairperson has outlined his main problem - if people get pay increases to cover inflation we have had it. ;) Not his words but pointing out that the % pay rise will reflect into inflation. Actually given pay rises haven't kept pace with real inflation for long periods it could add more. Money invested and pay is one aspect is expected to show a gain.

All this with greening reckoned to cost billions 2/3 falling on the public. All in 8 years.

The top of the fuel and gas industry is making immense profits. This would usually result in ploughing it back into new fields ;) gas etc. It's not happening. Labour say a windfall tax which I vaguely remember Mrs T using on another area.

The council tax rate refund is up to band D. Some pensioners who have paid off their mortgage will be living in E and up also people who have had to take a reduced income for some reason or the other. Some no doubt will be struggling with payments anyway.
 
Basically the capitalist system is f*cked for the vast majority of people...

Anyone who believes that a very few people should effectively own more money than many countries should be escorted to the nearest lamp post!
 
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