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As a general response to all the theories put forward for the shortage of drivers, there is a UK Select Committee report (2016) on the problem. So the government were warned of the impending crisis many years ago.
"A Driver Shortage?
1.We believe that the driver shortage is a shortage of people willing to work in the sector rather than a shortage of people with the right qualifications and licences. It seems to us that the apparent shortage will get worse unless action is taken to improve retention and increase recruitment. (Paragraph 24)
2.We conclude that there is no single cause for the driver shortage but a combination of a number of factors make the job less attractive than it was........."
https://publications.parliament.uk/pa/cm201617/cmselect/cmtrans/740/74002.htm
The initial Report comments are in Bold, and the Government responses in normal text.
The Government response puts the onus squarely on the industry:
"We agree that there is a shortage of people willing to work in the sector and that retention of drivers has been a major barrier to tackling the driver shortage. The industry should undertake an evaluation to establish why LGV licence holders left the industry and identify the barriers to their return. We believe that the industry should consider setting itself a target for attracting former drivers back to the sector."
"A Driver Shortage?
1.We believe that the driver shortage is a shortage of people willing to work in the sector rather than a shortage of people with the right qualifications and licences. It seems to us that the apparent shortage will get worse unless action is taken to improve retention and increase recruitment. (Paragraph 24)
2.We conclude that there is no single cause for the driver shortage but a combination of a number of factors make the job less attractive than it was........."
https://publications.parliament.uk/pa/cm201617/cmselect/cmtrans/740/74002.htm
The initial Report comments are in Bold, and the Government responses in normal text.
The Government response puts the onus squarely on the industry:
"We agree that there is a shortage of people willing to work in the sector and that retention of drivers has been a major barrier to tackling the driver shortage. The industry should undertake an evaluation to establish why LGV licence holders left the industry and identify the barriers to their return. We believe that the industry should consider setting itself a target for attracting former drivers back to the sector."