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Small boat crossings

Rwanda wasnt even on the table as an idea then.

And it has never been a proper deterrent nor econimcally viable.

Is that really the best thing the Tories had, and never implemented ?
 
carmanmemoranda said:
Rwanda wasnt even on the table as an idea then.

And it has never been a proper deterrent nor econimcally viable.

Is that really the best thing the Tories had, and never implemented ?
Click to expand...
The numbers prove otherwise and the commentator is an active and recognised expert on the subject.
 
motorbiking said:
The numbers prove otherwise and the commentator is an active and recognised expert on the subject.
Click to expand...

Oxford University disagree.

There is no evidence that political discussions surrounding the Rwanda policy deterred small boat arrivals. The number of people taking this route did not fall following the policy’s announcement in April 2022, for example. If there was a deterrent effect, it was too small to see in the data.

Because the Rwanda policy was never implemented, we cannot be sure what its impact would have been on the number of people crossing the Channel in small boats or claiming asylum in the UK.

The available evidence suggests the deterrent effect of asylum policies is often small, which means there was no guarantee the Rwanda policy would have been the game-changer that the Conservative government had hoped it would be.
Click to expand...

Explain on this graph which numbers show the effect:

1755087453174.png
 
motorbiking said:
The numbers prove otherwise and the commentator is an active and recognised expert on the subject.
Click to expand...
No they don't.

Rwanda never was an effective solution. But the point is, was that all that the Tories achieved ?

Where has the current mess appeared from? Just suddenly happened?
 
MNW67 said:
Oxford University disagree.



Explain on this graph which numbers show the effect:

View attachment 389665
Click to expand...
Nationality and Borders Act 2022
Albanian Returns Agreement 2022
llegal Migration Act 2023

you are better off looking at the numbers month by month

full.png


All had the effect of reducing the number crossing.
Labour Announced they would cancel the Rwanda project in April/May-24 and the numbers have been growing ever since.
With the exception of just 3 Months we've had increases over the previous period. Since their announcement.
 
motorbiking said:
All had the effect of reducing the number crossing.
Labour Announced they would cancel the Rwanda project in April/May-24 and the numbers have been growing ever since.
With the exception of just 3 Months we've had increases over the previous period. Since their announcement.
Click to expand...

I'll stick with Oxford University until better evidence becomes available.
 
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