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On whether this issue is fair or not, I reserve judgement. But I would repeat that sport in general is not equal. There will always be inequalities in sport.Not just like the rest of them ...
The top weight category for women in 87 kg and over, Hubbard weighs in at a manly 130kg
- Hubbard is in the highest weight category for women, there are not many other woman (when I last looked) in that category
- Hubbard has been competing just a like a woman, who spent 20 years doping & taking illegal substance to boost their sporting performance
By comparison, Tatiana Kashirina (top ranked in the world), one of the largest women who also competes in the 87+ group, weighs 108.25kg.
Still think it is fair?
But hopefully we'll see women kick the old guy's arse this year. If Hubbard wins there will be carnage.
All that the relevant committees can do is work towards making it as equal as possible.
As you point out, there is no guarantee of success for this athlete.
I don't know the details of the weight categories, nor the details of this athletes background or physical attributes.
I don't base my argument on assumptions about unknown issues.
If she has always been fundamentally a woman, she may not have benefitted from the advantages that male athletes naturally enjoy, such as the higher levels of testosterone. So that is a theoretical argument, and not necessarily accurate without the full knowledge of the medical tests, etc.
I still question the argument about athletes transitioning based purely on a desire to win in sport. I don't see that as a sufficient motivation for a lifetime change of such magnitude.
As you point out, she is not a young athlete, and maybe she has been competing in the wrong category for most of her life.
Edit; I think I've covered your subsequent comment in this post.