How safe is flying.....
- Thread starter Daz66
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2scoops0406
JohnD said:
Probably, just that most people think that a plane crash is 100% fatal. When the reality is much much lower.
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This past 12 months ... including all jet passenger flights and turboprop accidents involving models with more than 10 passenger seats and which are used in airline service in North America and western Europe.
If one passenger/crew died then on average 72% died.
1417 passengers and crew involved, 1026 died, 391 lived.
855 --- passengers and crew were in an accident with aircraft in flight either just taken off, cruising or approaching airport. --- 845 died.
So, if the thing comes down hard enough to kill one - it'll likely kill everyone.
Some definitions - used by Airsafe.com :-
http://www.airsafe.com/events/define.htm
More info from The National Transportation Safety Board (USA)
http://www.ntsb.gov/aviation/Table2.htm
Interesting, the number of hours for US air carriers - 2006 - 19.56 Million.
We (UK) have, apparently 30 Million driving license holders.
If, say, 20 million drive the average 12000 miles per annum at say 35 mph average o/all. (check your computer trip) We have 6.85 Billion hours driven in 1 year !!
6.85e9 / 19.56e6 = 350.2 as many hours driven here in UK than Hours flown in USA...
If 3600 die on our roads, shouldn't I expect less than 1/350 of that number for flying in the USA to be safer?
That'll be 10.28 go on I'll round it up to 11 total deaths for air travel to be safer, by hours flown versus driven.
Just 11 killed in USA air accidents? We all wish it was that low and lower !
Discounting hi-jacks and craft outside US airspace .. 369 deaths over 6.4 yrs .. av. 57.5 per annum (pro rata by hours with 350:1 ratio we might imagine
20,125 road deaths p/a in UK ) - stats eh?
If one passenger/crew died then on average 72% died.
1417 passengers and crew involved, 1026 died, 391 lived.
855 --- passengers and crew were in an accident with aircraft in flight either just taken off, cruising or approaching airport. --- 845 died.
So, if the thing comes down hard enough to kill one - it'll likely kill everyone.
Some definitions - used by Airsafe.com :-
http://www.airsafe.com/events/define.htm
More info from The National Transportation Safety Board (USA)
http://www.ntsb.gov/aviation/Table2.htm
Interesting, the number of hours for US air carriers - 2006 - 19.56 Million.
We (UK) have, apparently 30 Million driving license holders.
If, say, 20 million drive the average 12000 miles per annum at say 35 mph average o/all. (check your computer trip) We have 6.85 Billion hours driven in 1 year !!
6.85e9 / 19.56e6 = 350.2 as many hours driven here in UK than Hours flown in USA...
If 3600 die on our roads, shouldn't I expect less than 1/350 of that number for flying in the USA to be safer?
That'll be 10.28 go on I'll round it up to 11 total deaths for air travel to be safer, by hours flown versus driven.
Just 11 killed in USA air accidents? We all wish it was that low and lower !
Discounting hi-jacks and craft outside US airspace .. 369 deaths over 6.4 yrs .. av. 57.5 per annum (pro rata by hours with 350:1 ratio we might imagine
20,125 road deaths p/a in UK ) - stats eh? 
