1. Visiting from the US? Why not try DIYnot.US instead? Click here to continue to DIYnot.US.
    Dismiss Notice

What Are The Odds Of Leaving On 31st October?

Discussion in 'General Discussion' started by ReganAndCarter, 22 Aug 2019.

  1. ReganAndCarter

    ReganAndCarter

    Joined:
    13 Sep 2010
    Messages:
    4,005
    Thanks Received:
    391
    Location:
    Moravia, CZ
    Country:
    Czech Republic
    Yes, another Brexit thread. As a former leaver who's changed sides, I wondered what people really think about our chances of leaving on 31st Oct. Anyone like to predict what will happen?
     
  2. Sponsored Links
  3. noseall

    noseall

    Joined:
    2 Feb 2006
    Messages:
    43,498
    Thanks Received:
    2,688
    Location:
    Staffordshire
    Country:
    United Kingdom
    Christ only knows. There is so much speculation and BS flying around at the moment, no one is to be believed.

    All I know is that a no-deal Brexit will leave a vacuum that will need filling quickly. I'm sure Bozza and the crew have it all planned out.
     
  4. Fek me static
     
    • Thanks Thanks x 1
  5. noseall

    noseall

    Joined:
    2 Feb 2006
    Messages:
    43,498
    Thanks Received:
    2,688
    Location:
    Staffordshire
    Country:
    United Kingdom
    I think he's yanking yer chain DP.
     
  6. Oic
     
  7. Iamchamps

    Iamchamps

    Joined:
    24 Sep 2016
    Messages:
    1,043
    Thanks Received:
    164
    Country:
    United Kingdom
    We will leave, life will go on and the UK will be fine. All the remoaners will have to swallow the crap they have been peddling.
     
    • Like Like x 4
    • Thanks Thanks x 3
  8. Notch7

    Notch7

    Joined:
    15 Sep 2017
    Messages:
    25,328
    Thanks Received:
    1,790
    Location:
    S. Uplands
    Country:
    United Kingdom
    Well the bookies odds arent that different between leave no deal or vote of no confidence.

    I would say leaving with a deal is pretty unlikely.
    Removing the backstop still leaves a pretty poor Theresa May withdrawal agreement -and if that goes through, it means years of trade negotiations where we will get stuffed, giving one concession after another.

    Boris doesnt want a no deal - he knows the chance of a government breakdown in the aftermath will ruin what he wants: which is to be PM.

    A no confidence vote will certainly happen if no deal stays on the table.
    But the numbers depend on whether Tory remainers outnumber Labour leavers.


    Personally I think the most likely outcome is an extension..........
     
    • Like Like x 1
  9. Doubtful,his ass will be grass!
     
    • Like Like x 3
  10. Sponsored Links
  11. Notch7

    Notch7

    Joined:
    15 Sep 2017
    Messages:
    25,328
    Thanks Received:
    1,790
    Location:
    S. Uplands
    Country:
    United Kingdom
    Life wont go on.

    That is exactly what is not understood.

    A no deal will lead to more negotiations.

    A deal is only going to be the Withdrawal Act -which is not a deal.
    Trade deals will follow -and will drag on.

    So lamchamps, life wont go on, no.
     
  12. Don't do it Notchy,,,,ring the samaritans
     
  13. What a tit you are
     
    • Like Like x 1
  14. noseall

    noseall

    Joined:
    2 Feb 2006
    Messages:
    43,498
    Thanks Received:
    2,688
    Location:
    Staffordshire
    Country:
    United Kingdom
    Whos' ass? Bozza? Life will go on.
     
    Last edited: 23 Aug 2019
  15. Notch7

    Notch7

    Joined:
    15 Sep 2017
    Messages:
    25,328
    Thanks Received:
    1,790
    Location:
    S. Uplands
    Country:
    United Kingdom
    From day 1 Boris has had a strategy:
    Campaign for a General election
    And at same time give impression of wanting a no deal - to get all Leavers behind him.

    Boris plan now is to play out the EU blame game.

    Boris has boxed himself in totally with a guarantee leave on 31st -its all bravado.

    Boris doesnt care for Brexit, he only cares for his job as PM.

    Im sure he would opt for a 2nd ref if it avoided a general election as it guarantee he stays in power.
     
  16. Notch7

    Notch7

    Joined:
    15 Sep 2017
    Messages:
    25,328
    Thanks Received:
    1,790
    Location:
    S. Uplands
    Country:
    United Kingdom
    Lamchamps thinks if Brexit in any form happens that will be the end of it.

    It will not -it will mean years of negotiations, tying up parliament for years to come.

    So in the political sense, life will not go on.

    Please do try not to underthink it so much :):):)
     
  17. fillyboy

    fillyboy

    Joined:
    2 Jul 2019
    Messages:
    7,230
    Thanks Received:
    627
    Location:
    cornwall
    Country:
    United Kingdom
    I wouldn't want to call it. I know what I want but I'm not part of the negotiating team.
    If we were just dealing with Merkel I suspect the outcome wouldn't be too onerous, some sort of fudge, short extension followed by set date for a leave with some sort of trade agreement, something where both sides 'win'. Macron will fight that no matter what cost to France. The divisions between France and Germany are becoming more and more evident but I suspect Germany's wishes will prevail in the end.

    Something will happen on the 31st Ocober, but Im b*****d if can say with 100% confidence what that will be. Anyone pretending they can is a fool.
    Boris has certainly made the end game a little more interesting.
     
    • Like Like x 2
Loading...

Share This Page